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Anyone good at politics does not pick a fight with the Catholic Church during a presidential year. Obama has become actively bad at politics. This is a central and amazing fact of the national election.” And yet neither loves politics or appears to have a particularly oversized gift for it. Peggy Noonan: “Both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama have risen to the top of the American political system in an intensely political era. Jat 4:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment Growing stress on previously reliable weighting procedures.”įiled Under: Polling Very Close Race for Washington Governor Than ever before to correct demographic skews, a phenomenon that places Today’s rapidly declining response rates require more weighting Sophisticated random samples, live interviewsĪnd rigorous calling procedures alone can no longer guarantee accurate Instead of hitting the CPS target of 13.7 percent Hispanic, the seven surveys averaged just 12.4 percent Hispanic.”īut he notes the “real story here is less about Gallup than about the new reality Instead of achieving the target of 12.1 percent black set by the March 2011 CPS, the average across the seven surveys was 11.3 percent black.

Mark Blumenthal: “The misses were typically small - usually within a single percentage point, although sometimes slightly bigger - but they made a consistent impact on the non-white composition of Gallup’s samples. Jat 7:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment By the way, for those scoring at home, a Virginia market has been No.1 in the most saturated category for two of the last three weeks.”įiled Under: 2012 Campaign Lawmaker Performs “Vagina Monologues” at State House “Bottom line: This week, it’s all about Virginia, Ohio, and Colorado. And finally, there’s just one North Carolina market (Charlotte) after four Tar Heel State markets were on our list last week (Charlotte, Raleigh-Durham, Greensboro, and Asheville).” This shouldn’t be surprising after our NBC-Marist poll showed a tight race in the state and especially after that Peter Hart focus group there. Also, for the first time on our weekly list, we have two Colorado markets (Colorado Springs and Denver). Three Ohio markets make our list (Cincy, Cleveland, Columbus), compared with just one from last week. In fact, three of this week’s top four markets are in Virginia, including No.1 Richmond (which was No.2 last week).

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But Booker is stillĭefined more by his promise than by his accomplishments.”įirst Read: “So where is the TV ad war taking place in the presidential race? Eight of the 10 hottest advertising markets (in terms of advertising points from June 18-24) are in the three battleground states of Virginia, Ohio, and Colorado. Politics of Newark and Washington, respectively.

“…Booker and Obama made their names by rejecting the business-as-usual Yet this summer, Barack Obama will attend the second convention in his honor and compete for another term as arguably the most legislatively successful Democratic president in a half-century - while Booker is little further along than where he started. “His first spate of national press came in the spring of 2000 - the same year that another attractive young political figure flew from Chicago to Los Angeles for the Democratic National Convention, had his credit card declined at the rental car station, and went home without even getting inside the arena. Along with Booker’s media-friendly persona, these superhero moves have ensured a steady stream of adulation.” His fame rests largely upon a number of almost absurdly heroic acts, which have varied from harrowing to Hollywood-esque: saving a resident from a burning building, cradling a twelve-year-old dying from gunshot wounds, hunger-striking for better police protection in the projects, sleeping in a trailer for five months to halt open-air drug markets. Jack Bohrer: “Newark Mayor Cory Booker’s star has been rising for what seems like an eternity.

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